In the previous ten seasons of Premier League the top three cities have captured 46 of the 50 spots ‘Top 5’. Only Leicester (three times) and Newcastle has succeeded in doing this.
Over this decade on average London has 2.1 positions Top 5. Manchester has 1.6 and Liverpool 0.9. That leaves the rest with only 0.4. According to our simulation model, the expected number this season is 1.3.
Here are the main contributers to the combined numbers:
London:
- Arsenal 99,4 %
- Tottenham 9,7 %
- Chelsea 8,9 %
- West Ham 2,9 %
- Brentford 2,5 %
Manchester:
- Man. City 97,9 %
- Man. United 62,1 %
Liverpool:
- Liverpool 88,3 %
Rest:
- Newcastle 72,1 %
- Aston Villa 53,3 %
- Brighton 2,7 %